Model your potential savings with level-funded health insurance — see best-case, worst-case, and expected scenarios side by side
| Component | PEPM | Monthly Total | % of Total |
|---|
Fully Insured Cost:
Current PEPM x number of employees x 12 months. Projected forward using the annual renewal increase rate.
Level-Funded Breakdown:
- Claims Fund: PEPM x claims ratio x state cost index x age factor x industry adjustment. This is held in a claims account to pay medical expenses.
- Admin Fee: PEPM x admin percentage. Covers TPA fees, network access, compliance, and reporting.
- Stop-Loss Premium: Based on attachment point selected. Lower attachment = higher premium but more protection. Rates from Sun Life/Voya reference schedules adjusted for group demographics.
- Total Level-Funded: Claims Fund + Admin Fee + Stop-Loss Premium.
Scenario Modeling:
- Best Case: Actual claims at 55% of expected. Employer receives ~50% of surplus (unused claims fund) as a refund.
- Expected Case: Actual claims match the expected claims fund. No surplus, no shortfall — typical 5-15% savings vs fully insured.
- Worst Case: Claims run 130% of expected, but stop-loss (both specific and aggregate) caps total exposure. Maximum cost is capped at claims fund + stop-loss corridor (typically 125% of expected).
State Cost Index:
Adjusts base claims for state-level provider costs, utilization patterns, and regulatory environment. Based on CMS Geographic Practice Cost Index and state premium filings.
Age Factor:
Uses CMS 3:1 age rating curve. Age 21 = 1.0, age 40 = 1.278, age 64 = 3.0. Normalized to the baseline age of 38.
3-Year Projection:
Fully insured trends at the entered renewal rate. Level-funded trends at 75% of the fully insured rate because claims experience has more direct impact on renewals.
Data Sources: SOA Group Health Experience Study, Mercer National Survey of Employer Health Plans 2025, KFF 2025 Employer Health Benefits Survey, TrustMark/Voya level-funded reference data, Sun Life stop-loss rate manuals, NAIC stop-loss model regulations, CMS Federal Age Rating Curves, state insurance department filings.
Get a side-by-side comparison with actual carrier quotes from TrustMark, Voya, UnitedHealthcare, and more — reviewed by a benefits advisor.
Level-funded plan analysis models the three-component cost structure: fixed administrative costs (TPA fees, network access, stop-loss premium), maximum claims liability (aggregate and specific stop-loss attachment points), and the variable claims fund. The potential refund calculation shows the portion of unused claims fund that may be returned, which varies by carrier and plan design.
Stop-loss premium estimates use industry benchmarking data adjusted for group size, demographics, and prior claims experience. Specific stop-loss attachment points are modeled at levels that balance premium cost against catastrophic claim risk. The aggregate corridor is typically set at 125% of expected claims, with some carriers offering tighter corridors for groups with favorable experience.
Level-funded arrangements are increasingly popular for groups with 10-100 employees who want the cost-saving potential of self-funding with the budget predictability of fully insured plans. Groups with younger demographics, lower utilization patterns, or industry classifications with favorable risk profiles tend to see the greatest benefit from this funding approach.
This analysis draws from the following primary data sources:
Methodology note: All projections use a composite rate approach with demographic adjustment factors. State-specific regulatory constraints are reflected in baseline rate assumptions. Results are directional estimates intended for planning purposes.